background image
12
Chris Caton is Chief
Economist of BT
Financial Group.
Share market volatility continued in June.
At the close on 20 June, the Australian
markethadfallenby3.4%fromits31May
level, while the US market was down by
2.6%.Thisbringstheyear-togainsto2.4%
and11.4%respectively.
At the low point for this correction,
duringthedayon13June,theAustralian
market was down by more than
10%fromits14Maycloseof5221.
There is no doubt what the major
international force driving markets is: the
continued concern that the Federal Reserve
(Fed) may end its programme of quantitative
easing (QE). QE expands the Fed's balance
sheet, and the chart below shows the
apparent effect this has had on the US share
market in recent years.
12
& DIVING
DIPPING
Volatility in the share market, mortgage rate rises and the
falling Australian dollar don't necessarily mean we're headed
for a recession, writes
Chris Caton.
FED BALANCE SHEET AND S&P500